Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.008556 0.010103 0.011971 0.014429 0.017637 0.021769 0.027646
2025-06-15 0.006472 0.008247 0.010640 0.014228 0.019712 0.028249 0.043674
2025-06-22 0.005188 0.006908 0.009387 0.013420 0.020276 0.032529 0.059443
2025-06-29 0.004544 0.006275 0.008910 0.013518 0.022155 0.039840 0.087893
2025-07-06 0.004150 0.005918 0.008745 0.014028 0.024916 0.050591 0.139981
2025-07-13 0.003922 0.005765 0.008859 0.015041 0.029121 0.068090 0.255649
2025-07-20 0.003656 0.005504 0.008729 0.015532 0.032414 0.086581 0.457688
2025-07-27 0.003380 0.005185 0.008430 0.015587 0.034670 0.104615 0.805255
2025-08-03 0.003154 0.004921 0.008187 0.015697 0.037173 0.127561 1.599370
2025-08-10 0.002900 0.004577 0.007737 0.015216 0.037710 0.142907 2.867109
2025-08-17 0.002641 0.004199 0.007172 0.014338 0.036619 0.148645 4.426875
2025-08-24 0.002431 0.003892 0.006713 0.013641 0.035906 0.156584 7.687694
2025-08-31 0.002309 0.003755 0.006622 0.013962 0.039432 0.205541 78.675746
2025-09-07 0.002157 0.003548 0.006360 0.013785 0.041121 0.249265 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001979 0.003274 0.005918 0.013012 0.039955 0.263636 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001882 0.003150 0.005790 0.013106 0.042754 0.340992 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001820 0.003089 0.005794 0.013595 0.047925 0.501684 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001790 0.003089 0.005936 0.014565 0.056799 0.901304 NaN
2025-10-12 0.001733 0.003027 0.005924 0.015034 0.063539 1.502964 NaN
2025-10-19 0.001660 0.002924 0.005799 0.015086 0.067785 2.297642 NaN
2025-10-26 0.001596 0.002834 0.005695 0.015191 0.072754 3.853258 NaN
2025-11-02 0.001512 0.002697 0.005454 0.014732 0.072910 5.045647 NaN
2025-11-09 0.001418 0.002532 0.005128 0.013892 0.069265 5.114884 NaN